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The basic reproduction number R0 is one of the most important concepts in modern infectious disease epidemiology. However, for more realistic and more complex models than those assuming homogeneous mixing in the population, other threshold quantities can be defined that are sometimes more useful and easily derived in terms of model parameters. In this paper, we present a model for the spread of a permanently immunizing infection in a population socially structured into households and workplaces/schools, and we propose and discuss a new household-to-household reproduction number RH for it. We show how RH overcomes some of the limitations of a previously proposed threshold parameter, and we highlight its relationship with the effort required to control an epidemic when interventions are targeted at randomly selected households.

Original publication

DOI

10.1098/rsif.2008.0493

Type

Journal article

Journal

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface

Publication Date

11/2009

Volume

6

Pages

979 - 987

Addresses

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK. l.pellis05@imperial.ac.uk

Keywords

Humans, Communicable Diseases, Family Characteristics, Communicable Disease Control, Models, Biological, Computer Simulation, Workplace