International vaccination: Potential impact on viral evolution and UK public health
Clifford S., Eggo R., Gog J., Grenfell B., HOLLINGSWORTH T., Klepac P., metcalf J., Quilty B., THOMPSON R.
This paper summarises the current scientific consensus and hypothesis on the role of global vaccination in emergence and importation of new variants, and identifies key areas of uncertainty for making future projections and policies. We highlight key considerations for future policymaking, and where that could be guided by new evidence. Some aspects relate to medium-term decisions (3 months) and others to long-term issues (12 months) as travel and behaviour returns to baseline.