Professor Christl Donnelly
CBE FMedSci FRS
Professor of Applied Statistics
My research programme brings together and develops statistical and biomathematical methods to analyse epidemiological patterns of infectious diseases. I have studied a variety of diseases, with a particular interest in outbreaks. I also have interests in ecology, conservation and animal welfare.
I use rigorous parameter estimation and hypothesis testing to gain the robust insights from dynamical models of disease transmission, demography and interventions. My research programme aims to improve our understanding of (and ability to predict) the effect of interventions on infectious agent transmission dynamics and population structure. The ultimate goal is to make control strategies as effective as they can be.
I have studied many infectious diseases, including Zika virus, Ebola, MERS, influenza, SARS, bovine TB, foot-and-mouth disease, rabies, cholera, dengue, BSE/vCJD, malaria and HIV/AIDS. I was a leading member of the WHO Ebola Response Team (2014-2016). I was also deputy chair of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB (1998-2007) which designed, oversaw and analysed the Randomised Badger Culling Trial.
I studied mathematics as an undergraduate at Oberlin College and biostatistics as a graduate student at Harvard School of Public Health.
Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment
Ainslie K. et al, (2020)
Adaptive estimation for epidemic renewal and phylogenetic skyline models
PARAG KV. and DONNELLY C., (2020), Systematic Biology
Potential and practice of wildlife culling for disease control
Miguel E. et al, (2020), Communications Biology
Creating a Framework for Conducting Randomized Clinical Trials during Disease Outbreaks.
Dean NE. et al, (2020), The New England journal of medicine, 382, 1366 - 1369
Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis.
Verity R. et al, (2020), The Lancet. Infectious diseases