Professor Christl Donnelly
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Colleges
Christl Donnelly
CBE FMedSci FRS
Professor of Applied Statistics
My research programme brings together and develops statistical and biomathematical methods to analyse epidemiological patterns of infectious diseases. I have studied a variety of diseases, with a particular interest in outbreaks. I also have interests in ecology, conservation and animal welfare.
I use rigorous parameter estimation and hypothesis testing to gain the robust insights from dynamical models of disease transmission, demography and interventions. My research programme aims to improve our understanding of (and ability to predict) the effect of interventions on infectious agent transmission dynamics and population structure. The ultimate goal is to make control strategies as effective as they can be.
I have studied many infectious diseases, including Zika virus, Ebola, MERS, influenza, SARS, bovine TB, foot-and-mouth disease, rabies, cholera, dengue, BSE/vCJD, malaria and HIV/AIDS. I was a leading member of the WHO Ebola Response Team (2014-2016). I was also deputy chair of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB (1998-2007) which designed, oversaw and analysed the Randomised Badger Culling Trial.
I studied mathematics as an undergraduate at Oberlin College and biostatistics as a graduate student at Harvard School of Public Health.
Recent publications
Incorporating Uncertainty in Study Participants’ Age in Serocatalytic Models
Preprint
Chen J. et al, (2026)
Increased activity in broiler chickens is associated with better feed conversion.
Journal article
Donnelly CA. et al, (2026), Poultry science, 105
Public reporting guidelines for outbreak data: Enabling accountability for effective outbreak response by developing standards for transparency and uniformity.
Journal article
Grégoire V. et al, (2026), Public health, 251
Early individualized risk prediction using clinical data for children during the febrile phase of dengue in outpatient settings in Vietnam and Thailand.
Journal article
Sangkaew S. et al, (2026), PLOS digital health, 5
Profiling vaccine attitudes and subsequent uptake in 1·1 million people in England: a nationwide cohort study.
Journal article
Whitaker M. et al, (2026), Lancet (London, England)