Francesco Di Lauro
Postdoctoral Researcher in Infectious Disease Modelling
I am a modeller with a background in Theoretical Physics and a PhD in Applied Maths. During my PhD, I worked on models for epidemic spreading on networks. I have also acquired experience in coding (mainly C, R, Python) and Statistics. You can find a list of my publications here.
I joined the group of Christophe Fraser at the Big Data Institute as a Postdoc in 2021.
I mostly work on HIV epidemic spreading in Sub-Saharan Africa, mainly on the quantitative analysis of the data from the HPTN01 (PopART) trial, within the [PANGEA consortium. My research focuses on understanding how sexual partnership networks in sub-Saharan Africa are shaping the dynamics of HIV spreading, and how to tailor public policy interventions aimed at reducing the burden of HIV on the population based on this knowledge; for example, what is the role of the hard-to-reach individuals who may have a high number of sexual partners, and therefore may be at high risk of acquiring/transmitting HIV? How much would a strategy focused on this sub-population reduce the overall incidence, compared to different choices? Answering such questions involves working with big data*, developing/maintaining epidemic models**, and collaborating with other members of the statistics and modelling team, as well as researchers around the World. I am also trying to bring in information gathered from Phylogenetic analysis into epidemic models, a task that is challenging but necessary, as recent advances in the field are giving us an unprecedented flux of high-quality data that are of paramount importance in reconstructing the transmission dynamics. Occasionally, I collaborate with other researchers on other diseases related projects, mainly COVID-19.
Recent publications
Large connected components in sexual networks and their role in HIV transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa: A model-based analysis of HPTN 071(PopART) data.
Journal article
Di Lauro F. et al, (2025), Journal of theoretical biology, 613
Drivers of epidemic dynamics in real time from daily digital COVID-19 measurements.
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2024), Science (New York, N.Y.), 385
Digital measurement of SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk from 7 million contacts.
Journal article
Ferretti L. et al, (2024), Nature, 626, 145 - 150
Biased estimates of phylogenetic branch lengths resulting from the discretised Gamma model of site rate heterogeneity
Preprint
Ferretti L. et al, (2024)
Enhancing global preparedness during an ongoing pandemic from partial and noisy data.
Journal article
Klamser PP. et al, (2023), PNAS nexus, 2