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States in south-eastern Brazil were recently affected by the largest Yellow Fever (YF) outbreak seen in a decade in Latin America. Here we provide a quantitative assessment of the risk of travel-related international spread of YF indicating that the United States, Argentina, Uruguay, Spain, Italy and Germany may have received at least one travel-related YF case capable of seeding local transmission. Mitigating the risk of imported YF cases seeding local transmission requires heightened surveillance globally.

Original publication

DOI

10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.28.30572

Type

Journal article

Journal

Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin

Publication Date

07/2017

Volume

22

Addresses

MRC Centre for Outbreak analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.

Keywords

Animals, Humans, Yellow fever virus, Yellow Fever, Yellow Fever Vaccine, Risk, Risk Factors, Disease Outbreaks, Insect Vectors, Models, Theoretical, Travel, United States, Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Germany, Italy, Spain, Global Health