Dr Timothy Pollington
MSc MSc AMIMA
Postdoctoral Researcher - Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases
I'm working with Professor Déirdre Hollingsworth and the Neglected Tropical Disease Modelling Consortium. My main disease of focus is visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a sandfly-transmitted parasitic disease that can be fatal if not treated. I am currently completing my PhD studies at the University of Warwick under Lloyd Chapman, Mike Tildesley & Déirdre Hollingsworth.
My current projects include: simulating outbreaks of VL at the village level; deconvolution of observed time series; an interrupted time series analysis of VL at the district level; developing a rate estimator for the tau statistic - a spatiotemporal clustering statistic for infectious diseases.
Responsible modelling: Unit testing for infectious disease epidemiology.
Lucas TCD. et al, (2020), Epidemics, 33
Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis.
Chapman LAC. et al, (2020), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117, 25742 - 25750
Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with Waning Immunity in the UK Population
Crellen T. et al, (2020)
An imperfect tool: COVID-19 ‘test & trace’ success relies on minimising the impact of false negatives and continuation of physical distancing
Davis E. et al, (2020)
Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic
Pollington TM. et al, (2020), Spatial Statistics