Timothy Pollington
MSc MSc AMIMA
Postdoctoral Researcher - Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases
I'm working with Professor Déirdre Hollingsworth and the Neglected Tropical Disease Modelling Consortium. My main disease of focus is visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a sandfly-transmitted parasitic disease that can be fatal if not treated. I am currently completing my PhD studies at the University of Warwick under Lloyd Chapman, Mike Tildesley & Déirdre Hollingsworth.
My current projects include: simulating outbreaks of VL at the village level; deconvolution of observed time series; an interrupted time series analysis of VL at the district level; developing a rate estimator for the tau statistic - a spatiotemporal clustering statistic for infectious diseases.
Recent publications
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Responsible modelling: Unit testing for infectious disease epidemiology.
Journal article
Lucas TCD. et al, (2020), Epidemics, 33
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Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis.
Journal article
Chapman LAC. et al, (2020), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117, 25742 - 25750
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Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with Waning Immunity in the UK Population
Working paper
Crellen T. et al, (2020)
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An imperfect tool: COVID-19 ‘test & trace’ success relies on minimising the impact of false negatives and continuation of physical distancing
Working paper
Davis E. et al, (2020)
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Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic
Journal article
Pollington TM. et al, (2020), Spatial Statistics